Sunday, November 2, 2014

Calculations and Considerations Regarding the Prophecy Given to Daniel by Gabriel


The book of Daniel presents the world with a very unique prophecy--one that predicts the arrival of the Messiah, suggests the “cutting off” of that Messiah, and foretells the actions of a future evil prince--the antichrist.  The prophecy is given to Daniel directly from the angel, Gabriel (Daniel 9:20-23), and is constituted as follows in Daniel 9:24-27:

24 Seventy weeks have been decreed for your people and your holy city, to finish the transgression, to make an end of sin, to make atonement for iniquity, to bring in everlasting righteousness, to seal up vision and prophecy and to anoint the most holy place. 25 So you are to know and discern that from the issuing of a decree to restore and rebuild Jerusalem until Messiah the Prince there will be seven weeks and sixty-two weeks; it will be built again, with plaza and moat, even in times of distress. 26 Then after the sixty-two weeks the Messiah will be cut off and have nothing, and the people of the prince who is to come will destroy the city and the sanctuary. And its end will come with a flood; even to the end there will be war; desolations are determined. 27 And he will make a firm covenant with the many for one week, but in the middle of the week he will put a stop to sacrifice and grain offering; and on the wing of abominations will come one who makes desolate, even until a complete destruction, one that is decreed, is poured out on the one who makes desolate.” [Unless otherwise indicated, references are to the NASB.]

Messianic Prophecy

This prophecy is significant in that it clearly involves the Millennial reign of the Messiah who will “make an end of sin” and “bring in everlasting righteousness.”  Amazingly, the date of the coming of the Messiah, as described in this prophecy given to Daniel, is substantially calculable, and the Messiah’s being “cut off” is similarly determinable:

1.             Consider, first, the very unique time frame set forth in Daniel 9:25a - "So you are to know and discern that from the issuing of a decree to restore and rebuild Jerusalem until Messiah the Prince there will be seven weeks and sixty-two weeks ...."  In this statement, we are provided a starting point, an ending point and a calculated period in between.

a.             The starting point.  Daniel 9:25a tells us the starting point is “the issuing of a decree to restore and rebuild Jerusalem.”  The book of Nehemiah and other historical records enable us to pinpoint this date:

i.             Nehemiah 2:1-10 - And it came about in the month Nisan, in the twentieth year of King Artaxerxes, that wine was before him, and I took up the wine and gave it to the king. Now I had not been sad in his presence. So the king said to me, "Why is your face sad though you are not sick? This is nothing but sadness of heart." Then I was very much afraid. I said to the king, "Let the king live forever. Why should my face not be sad when the city, the place of my fathers' tombs, lies desolate and its gates have been consumed by fire?" Then the king said to me, "What would you request?" So I prayed to the God of heaven. I said to the king, "If it please the king, and if your servant has found favor before you, send me to Judah, to the city of my fathers' tombs, that I may rebuild it." Then the king said to me, the queen sitting beside him, "How long will your journey be, and when will you return?" So it pleased the king to send me, and I gave him a definite time. And I said to the king, "If it please the king, let letters be given me for the governors of the provinces beyond the River, that they may allow me to pass through until I come to Judah, and a letter to Asaph the keeper of the king's forest, that he may give me timber to make beams for the gates of the fortress which is by the temple, for the wall of the city and for the house to which I will go." And the king granted them to me because the good hand of my God was on me. Then I came to the governors of the provinces beyond the River and gave them the king's letters. Now the king had sent with me officers of the army and horsemen. When Sanballat the Horonite and Tobiah the Ammonite official heard about it, it was very displeasing to them that someone had come to seek the welfare of the sons of Israel.

ii.            King Artaxerxes I of Persia reigned from 465 to 424 BC.  Artaxerxes I of Persia. (n.d.) In Wikipedia.  Retrieved October 27, 2014, from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artaxerxes_I_of_Persia. Thus, the 20th year of his reign would have been between 446 and 445 BC, depending, too, on the month on which his reign started.

b.            The calculated period.  Daniel 9:25a tells us the calculated period is “seven weeks and sixty-two weeks." 

i.              The use of the word “weeks” here really means (and is actually translated in some versions as) “sevens.”  So, we are talking about 69 periods of 7.  Contextually (see e.g., Daniel’s contemplation of Jeremiah’s prophecy regarding Jerusalem as encompassing a period of years in Daniel 9:2), we are permitted to understand the 69 periods of 7 to mean periods that are approximately each a “year.”

ii.             69 periods of 7 years is 483 years.

iii.            However, the text doesn’t really say “years,” which is important; it just says “sevens”; further, additional passages in Daniel and in Revelation refer to prophetic periods as “times,” and the context suggests that a “time” equates to a period of 360 days.  It’s not exactly clear why these periods are not full years; they are God’s specially calculated “prophetic years.”

A.            Daniel 7:25 - [referring to the antichrist] “He will speak out against the Most High and wear down the saints of the Highest One, and he will intend to make alterations in times and in law; and they will be given into his hand for a time, times, and half a time.”

B.            Daniel 12:7 - [referring to the Day of the Lord] “I heard the man dressed in linen, who was above the waters of the river, as he raised his right hand and his left toward heaven, and swore by Him who lives forever that it would be for a time, times, and half a time; and as soon as they finish shattering the power of the holy people, all these events will be completed.”

C.            Revelation 11:2b-3 - [referring to the Great Tribulation period] “and they will tread under foot the holy city for forty-two months. And I will grant authority to my two witnesses, and they will prophesy for twelve hundred and sixty days, clothed in sackcloth.”

D.            Revelation 12:6 - [referring likely to the nation of Israel during the Tribulation] “Then the woman fled into the wilderness where she had a place prepared by God, so that there she would be nourished for one thousand two hundred and sixty days.”

E.            Revelation 12:14 - [referring to the nation of Israel during the Tribulation] “But the two wings of the great eagle were given to the woman, so that she could fly into the wilderness to her place, where she was nourished for a time and times and half a time, from the presence of the serpent.”

F.             Revelation 13:5 - [referring to the beast] “There was given to him a mouth speaking arrogant words and blasphemies, and authority to act for forty-two months was given to him.”

When trying to analyze these periods, it is important to note that (A) 1,260 days / 3.5 “times” = 360 days/”time”; (B) 42 months of 30 days = 1,260 days; and (C) 3.5 times = 3.5 “prophetic years.”

iv.            Some scholars also point to the Genesis account as acknowledging a 30-day month: compare Genesis 7:11 - "In the six hundredth year of Noah’s life, in the second month, on the seventeenth day of the month, on the same day all the fountains of the great deep burst open, and the floodgates of the sky were opened"; to Genesis 8:3-4 “And the water receded steadily from the earth, and at the end of one hundred and fifty days the water decreased.  In the seventh month, on the seventeenth day of the month, the ark rested upon the mountains of Ararat.”  This is interesting as a side note to this analysis, but not necessarily critical.
               
v.             Converting Daniel's 483 periods from God's 360-day prophetic year to our Gregorian calendar 365.25 day year requires some math:

A.            483 x 360 days = 173,880 days on God's “prophetic years” calendar

B.            173,880 / 365.25 = 476.06 years on the Gregorian calendar

C.            445 (i.e., BC) + 476 years (i.e., 365.25-day years) = 31 (i.e., AD)

D.            Curiously, the Gregorian calendar does not have a year "0." 0 Year.  (n.d.) In Wikipedia. Retrieved October 28, 2014, from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/0_(year). Zero wasn't understood at the time the calendars precedent to the Gregorian calendar were developed. Thus, because our calculation crosses over the transition period from BC to AD, we must add 1 year to 31 AD, making the correct year for purposes of our calculation: 32 AD. [Note, too, that if we use 446 BC as the starting point, we end up at 31 AD.]

c.             The ending point. Daniel 9:25a indicates that the ending point is identified as the time of  "Messiah the Prince.”  Thus, the question is whether the above calculated year of 32 AD [or 31 AD] comports with the actual date of the arrival of Messiah the Prince.

i.              The Jewish month of Nisan starts on the day after the the new moon of spring (i.e., the new moon closest to the vernal equinox). Nisan-Years. (n.d.) In Wikipedia. Retrieved October 29, 2014, from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nisan-years.

ii..            Passover begins on the evening of the 14th day of the month of Nisan and continues for 7 days.   Exodus 12:1-28.   The first day of Passover is the first day following the first sunset of Passover.  Passover.  (n.d.) In Wikipedia.  Retreived on October 30, 2014 from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Passover.  Thus, the first day of Passover is Nisan 15.  Ibid.

iii.            Thus, taking the above information together, it appears the prophecy in Daniel 9, in effect, indicates that the Messiah would be evident to Israel approximately in the month of Nisan in 32 AD. 

A.            In fact, it appears that the triumphal entry of Jesus into Jerusalem occurred in the month of Nisan.  See Mark 10:32-33, Mark 11:1-11 and Mark 14:1, 12, as well as Luke 18:31-34, Luke 19:28-40, and Luke 22:1-2, noting that all of these events occurred at about the same time. 

B.            Interestingly, Jesus picks up on Daniel’s prophecy as part of his discussion with his disciples during this final week: See Matthew 24:3-31; Mark 13:3-27; Luke 21:7-33.)

C.            Looking at John 12:1-12, it appears that the Triumphal Entry would have occurred 5 days before the Passover, which would have been on about Nisan 10 (depending on whether they were counting from the sunset of Passover or the First Day of Passover).

D.            There is little question that Jesus was hailed as a “Prince” during the Triumphal Entry.  See John 12:12-15 (crowd shouting, “Blessed is the king of Israel!”).

2.            Consider, too, the additional information in the prophecy regarding the Messiah: “After those 62 weeks the Messiah will be cut off and will have nothing.”  Daniel 9:26a.  Many scholars agree that this passage suggests death.  Daniel may have been wondering how the Messiah could both appear and then be suddenly “cut off” and “have nothing.”  The answer lies in the rest of the week after the Triumphal Entry.

a.            The Passover meal (the “Last Supper” seder) would have been conducted approximately on the evening of the 14th day of Nisan.

b.            Since Jesus was arrested during the night of the Last Supper, Jesus had to have been arrested on the evening of the 14th or the early morning of the 15th of Nisan.  Matthew 26:18-31 and John 18:1-13.  Peter would have denied Jesus for the 3rd time in the break of day on the 15th of Nisan.  Matthew 26:57-74; Luke 22:54-62; John 18:15-27.

c.             On the morning of the 15th of Nisan, Jesus was taken to the sanhedrin (Luke 22:66) and Pilate (Matthew 27:1-2; John 18:28).

d.            Jesus was crucified that very day, on Nisan 15.  Matthew 27:62-65 and Luke 23:54 and John 19:14,31 indicate that Jesus was also buried on that day, Preparation Day, and “the day after Preparation Day” the chief priests obtained orders from Pilate to guard the tomb.

e.             Thus, it appears that Jesus was “cut off” during the month of Nisan.

3.            Thus, Jesus was hailed as the King of Israel and crucified in the month of Nisan.  The question is whether these events all occurred in 32 AD [or 31 AD, depending on the calculation start date].  The time frame of 32 AD is substantiated (although not necessarily pinpointed) by a variety of collateral facts:

a.             Pilate was the prefect of the Roman province of Judaea from AD 26–36.  Pontius Pilate. (n.d.) In Wikipedia. Retrieved October 30, 2014, from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pontius_Pilate.

b.             John the Baptist started his ministry in the 15th year of the reign of Tiberius Caesar.  Luke 3:1-20.  Tiberius reigned from 14 AD to 37 AD.  Tiberius.  (n.d.) In Wikipedia.  Retreived on October 30, 2014 from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tiberius.  The 15th year of the reign of Tiberius would be about 28-29 AD.  Jesus appears to have started his ministry at about the same time, at age 30.  See Luke 3:21-23.

c.             There are only a few Passovers mentioned in the Gospels as occurring during Jesus’ ministry--the final one occurring at his crucifixion.  Thus, he would have been about 33 years old at the time of his crucifixion.  Thus, at age 33, the year would have been about 31-32 AD.

d.            It is nearly impossible to try to sync our calendar with the calendar used back at this time.  For some notes regarding the complicating factors of the analysis, see Espenak, Fred. (January 24, 2007). Calendar Dates.  NASA Eclipse Website.  Retrieved from http://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/SEhelp/calendar.html.  Being even 1 year off in the analysis completely alters the dates, considering that the analysis begins with the identification of the new moon of spring, and that date moves around the Gregorian calendar.  This is likely why Jesus said of His Second Coming, “But of that day and hour no one knows, not even the angels of heaven, nor the Son, but the Father alone.”  Matthew 24:36.

e.             Notwithstanding the calendar synchronization issues, my best guess of the timetable would look something like this [again, this is based on 32 AD]: Starting with the NASA phases of the moon tables [see   Espenak, Fred. (March 27, 2007). Phases of the Moon: 1-100.  NASA. Retrieved October 30, 2014, from http://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/phase/phases0001.html]--

Gregorian
Hebrew
Day of Week
Comments
March 29
-
Thursday
The NASA Phases of the Moon:1-100 table shows the new moon closest to the vernal equinox of 32 AD, appearing at 8:00 p.m, in Universal Time, which would equate to 10 p.m. in Jerusalem; the Sanhedrin would thus most likely have considered the spotting of the new moon on this evening to have caused the following day to be Nisan 1.
March 30
Nisan 1
Friday

March 31
Nisan 2
Saturday

April 1
Nisan 3
Sunday

April 2
Nisan 4
Monday

April 3
Nisan 5
Tuesday

April 4
Nisan 6
Wednesday

April 5
Nisan 7
Thursday

April 6
Nisan 8
Friday

April 7
Nisan 9
Saturday
Jesus anointed in Bethany
April 8
Nisan 10
Sunday
Jesus’ Triumphal Entry
April 9
Nisan 11
Monday

April 10
Nisan 12
Tuesday

April 11
Nisan 13
Wednesday

April 12
Nisan 14
Thursday
Passover Seder on this evening: the Last Supper
April 13
Nisan 15
Friday
1st day of Passover: Jesus arrested very early, then taken to the sanhedrin and Pilate and to Herod and back to Pilate; whipped; crucified; died; buried before sunset; Preparation Day (day before Sabbath); the NASA tables show a full moon as well as a total lunar eclipse this night.
April 14
Nisan 16
Saturday
2nd day of Passover: Sabbath Day
April 15
Nisan 17
Sunday
3rd day of Passover: Resurrection Day (earthquake on this day)
April 16
Nisan 18
Monday
4th day of Passover:
April 17
Nisan 19
Tuesday
5th day of Passover
April 18
Nisan 20
Wednesday
6th day of Passover
April 19
Nisan 21
Thursday
Last day of Passover
April 20
Nisan 22
Friday


[Note that the listing of the days of the week was made to sync with the Scriptural account.  A number of people have offered day-of-the-week calculators, trying to account for all of the variations of calendars over the years, but they all seem to yield a variety of answers when estimating the precise day of the week for a given date in 32 AD. If you study the complexities of calendar calculations, you will see that it is nearly impossible to try to match the day of the week with a particular day that far back in time.]

Thus, there are corroborating elements indicating that 32 AD is a very realistically probable year of the Triumphal Entry, crucifixion and resurrection of Christ.  This evidence makes Daniel’s prophecy regarding the Messiah’s being both Prince and “cut off” 483 prophetic years from the decree to restore and rebuild Jerusalem particularly amazing.

Antichrist Prophecy

We can also see in Daniel’s prophecy some interesting considerations regarding the antichrist.

1.             First, it is interesting to note Gabriel’s prophecy that “seventy weeks have been decreed” relating to Jews and Jerusalem (Daniel 9:24), yet the prophecy regarding the Messiah encompassed only 69 of the weeks (Daniel 9:25-26a).  The 69 weeks period ends when the Messiah is “cut off” (Daniel 9:26).  There is, therefore, a remaining week (7 prophetic year period) involving Jerusalem and the Jews to be addressed after the Messiah’s being “cut off.”

2.             The prophecy does, indeed, address the final “one week” period.  Daniel 9:27a indicates that the antichrist “will make a firm covenant with the many for one week.”  Thus, the final week is distinct from the 69 week period.  And we understand this prophecy to apply to a period in the future--far from the death of Christ.  To some dispensationalists, this break in time periods is particularly coherent: Jesus’ death and resurrection mark the end of the period decreed for the Jews as well as the beginning of the church age, a time when Gentiles are given the opportunity to accept Christ (see John 12:20-23 wherein the story of Gentiles wanting to see Jesus appeared to be a marker for Jesus to know that the time of the Gentiles was about to begin); that age continues until the start of the final “one week” period.  The final “one week” period, according to Gabriel’s prophecy, is, after all, part of the 70 week period decreed for the Jews and for Jerusalem.  Thus, the age of the Gentiles should end before the beginning of the final “one week” period applicable to the Jews.  Many evangelicals see this transition being marked by a “Rapture” event, wherein believers in Christ are removed from Earth prior to the playing out of the final “one week” period. (See 1 Thessalonians 4:13-18.)  Certainly, if believers in Christ are removed from the Earth, the focus of the plan of God should, theologically, shift back to the Jews (who haven’t accepted Jesus as their savior but are still the beneficiaries of the promises given by God to Abraham, Isaac and Jacob); they would be given a final opportunity to embrace the plan of God--in the context of a final, 7-prophetic-year period that precedes the Second Coming of Jesus (which orthodox Jews currently understand, simply, as the Coming of the Messiah).  The Second Coming of Jesus would mark the dawn of a new era--a 1000 year period of the reign of the Messiah on Earth.  (The Second Coming of Christ and His millennial reign are not, however, encompassed by this prophecy except as a marker for the bringing of “everlasting righteousness.”)

3.             The fact that the final “one week” period is distinctly applicable to the Jews is marked by the prophetic statement: “in the middle of the week he will put a stop to sacrifice and grain offering” (Daniel 9:27b). After the death and resurrection of Jesus, there is no need for sacrifices or grain offerings.  People saved in the church age understand this; orthodox Jews, however, do not understand this; the only reason the orthodox Jews are not sacrificing and making offerings is that there is no temple; there is no temple, because the Dome of the Rock, an Islamic shrine, is situated precisely where the orthodox Jews believe the temple is to be situated.  See Dome of the Rock. (n.d.) In Wikipedia.  Retrieved on October 31, 2014 from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dome_of_the_Rock. Thus, the prophetic statement suggests that the Jewish temple is to be re-built.

4.             The prophecy further indicates that the antichrist will break his covenant with the Jews.  As indicated in Daniel 9:27, “And he will make a firm covenant with the many for one week, but in the middle of the week he will put a stop to sacrifice and grain offering; and on the wing of abominations will come one who makes desolate, even until a complete destruction, one that is decreed, is poured out on the one who makes desolate.”  Thus, in the middle of the 7-prophetic-year period, started by the activation of a covenant with the Jews, the antichrist will break the covenant, and destruction and desolation will come.  As noted above, Jesus expressly refers to this part of the prophecy in Daniel during the week of His crucifixion (see Matthew 24:15-31)--amazingly tying together the prophecy from Daniel to Jesus to the antichrist.

5.             In Daniel 9:26-27 there is a curious triality with regard to the references to the antichrist: “the people of the prince who is to come will destroy the city and the sanctuary. And its end will come with a flood; even to the end there will be war; desolations are determined. And he will make a firm covenant with the many for one week, but in the middle of the week he will put a stop to sacrifice and grain offering; and on the wing of abominations will come one who makes desolate, even until a complete destruction, one that is decreed, is poured out on the one who makes desolate.”  The triality arises from the facts that (a) Jerusalem and the temple existing at the time of Jesus’ life on Earth was destroyed in 70 AD by Rome through Titus (who wanted to convert the temple into a temple for Rome) (see Siege of Jerusalem. (n.d.) In Wikipedia. Retrieved October 31, 2014, from  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Siege_of_Jerusalem_(AD_70)), (b) Jerusalem and the temple created following Daniel’s captivity were destroyed in 167 BC by Greece through Antiochus Epiphanes (who insisted that the Jews worship Zeus and referred to himself as god) (see Aniochus IV Epiphanes. (n.d.) In Wikipedia. Retrieved on October 31, 2014, from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antiochus_IV_Epiphanes), and (c) the antichrist will also act to desolate the temple.  This is why the prophecy indicates “desolations are determined.” 

6.             The reference “people of the prince who is to come” may carry a suggestion that there is a relationship between the antichrist and the prior desolators.  In this regard, it is interesting to note that Antiochus IV Epiphanes was king of the Seleucid Empire, which encompassed areas now known as Israel, Syria, Turkey, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iran and Iraq.  Titus was the emperor of the Roman Empire, which encompassed areas now known as Europe, Greece, Turkey, Syria, Israel and Egypt.

In sum, the prophecy given to Daniel by Gabriel encompasses a host of events involving the Messiah.  It provided something amazing for Daniel to look forward to, and it gives us an amazing opportunity to look both back and forward in time with confidence that the Messiah came and will, indeed, come again.



Mark Absher
California
 

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